{"id":325346,"date":"2025-12-08T01:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/?page_id=325346"},"modified":"2026-02-04T15:16:31","modified_gmt":"2026-02-04T20:16:31","slug":"paz-nunca-alternativa-eln-colombia-venezuela","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/paz-nunca-alternativa-eln-colombia-venezuela\/","title":{"rendered":"La paz nunca fue una alternativa: el ELN de Colombia en Venezuela"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-cover alignfull\" style=\"min-height:578px;aspect-ratio:unset;\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1366\" height=\"752\" class=\"wp-block-cover__image-background wp-image-325407 size-full\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?resize=1366%2C752&#038;quality=100&#038;ssl=1\" data-object-fit=\"cover\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?w=1366&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 1366w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?resize=300%2C165&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?resize=1024%2C564&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?resize=768%2C423&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?resize=1200%2C661&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?resize=780%2C429&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 780w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?resize=400%2C220&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?resize=706%2C389&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 706w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?w=370&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 370w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-cover__background has-background-dim-30 has-background-dim\" style=\"background-color:#1e1b29\"><\/span><div class=\"wp-block-cover__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-cover-is-layout-constrained\">\t<div\n\t\tclass=\"wp-block-newspack-blocks-homepage-articles wpnbha ts-7 \"\n\t\tstyle=\"\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t<div data-posts data-current-post-id=\"325346\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t<article data-post-id=\"325346\"\n\t\tclass=\"tag-cocaina tag-colombia-pais tag-el-eln tag-ex-farc-mafia-es-2 tag-venezuela-pais category-investigaciones type-page post-has-image\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t<div class=\"entry-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/paz-nunca-alternativa-eln-colombia-venezuela\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">La paz nunca fue una alternativa: el ELN de Colombia en Venezuela<\/a><\/h2>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"byline\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"author-prefix\">por<\/span> <span class=\"author vcard\"><a class=\"url fn n\" href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/author\/venezuela-investigative-unit\/\">Venezuela Investigative Unit<\/a><\/span>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><!-- .author-name -->\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<time class=\"entry-date published\" datetime=\"2025-12-08T01:00:00-05:00\">8 de diciembre de 2025<\/time><time class=\"updated\" datetime=\"2026-02-04T15:16:31-05:00\">4 de febrero de 2026<\/time>\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-wrapper -->\n\t<\/article>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--1\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"#capitulos-investigacion\">Cap\u00edtulos de la investigaci\u00f3n<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Las negociaciones de paz con el Ej\u00e9rcito de Liberaci\u00f3n Nacional (ELN) fueron el eje central de la campa\u00f1a electoral del presidente colombiano Gustavo Petro y de su pol\u00edtica de Paz Total. Desde el inicio, estaba claro que ser\u00eda una tarea tit\u00e1nica. Hoy, el fracaso parece inevitable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Petro se sent\u00f3 a dialogar con un ELN m\u00e1s fuerte que en cualquier otro momento de su historia, y con una ventaja estrat\u00e9gica significativa: su expansi\u00f3n en Venezuela y su cercan\u00eda con el r\u00e9gimen de Nicol\u00e1s Maduro. Pero, \u00bfqu\u00e9 grupo rebelde ha firmado un acuerdo pol\u00edtico mientras aumenta su poder militar y contin\u00faa expandi\u00e9ndose?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Esta investigaci\u00f3n analiza el crecimiento del ELN en territorio venezolano y c\u00f3mo esa consolidaci\u00f3n le ha permitido proyectar su influencia hacia Colombia. Asimismo, examina la relaci\u00f3n simbi\u00f3tica que se ha establecido entre el ELN y el r\u00e9gimen de Maduro, en la que ambos dependen mutuamente y, al mismo tiempo, se fortalecen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:6px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" id=\"capitulos-investigacion\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\t<div\n\t\tclass=\"wp-block-newspack-blocks-homepage-articles wpnbha show-image image-alignleft ts-3 is-1 is-landscape \"\n\t\tstyle=\"\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t<div data-posts data-current-post-id=\"325346\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"article-section-title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span>Cap\u00edtulos<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t<article data-post-id=\"325349\"\n\t\tclass=\"tag-cocaina tag-colombia-pais tag-el-eln tag-ex-farc-mafia-es-2 tag-paz-con-eln tag-venezuela-pais category-investigaciones type-post post-has-image\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"post-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/guerras-fronterizas-eln-toma-catatumbo\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-1-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-newspack-article-block-landscape-medium size-newspack-article-block-landscape-medium wp-post-image\" alt=\"Guerras fronterizas: el ELN y la toma del Catatumbo\" data-hero-candidate=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-1-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-1-ELN.jpg?resize=600%2C450&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-1-ELN.jpg?resize=400%2C300&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-1-ELN.jpg?resize=200%2C150&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-1-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;w=370 370w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure><!-- .featured-image -->\n\t\t\n\t\t<div class=\"entry-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/guerras-fronterizas-eln-toma-catatumbo\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Guerras fronterizas: el ELN y la toma del Catatumbo<\/a><\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>La ofensiva del ELN en el Catatumbo es solo un cap\u00edtulo m\u00e1s de su plan de lograr algo que ning\u00fan actor ilegal ha conseguido durante\u2026<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<time class=\"entry-date published\" datetime=\"2025-12-08T01:00:00-05:00\">8 de diciembre de 2025<\/time><time class=\"updated\" datetime=\"2025-12-08T12:25:44-05:00\">8 de diciembre de 2025<\/time>\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-wrapper -->\n\t<\/article>\n\n\t\t\n\t<article data-post-id=\"325473\"\n\t\tclass=\"tag-cocaina tag-colombia-pais tag-el-eln tag-venezuela-pais category-investigaciones type-post post-has-image\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"post-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/viaducto-cocaina-narcotrafico-expansion-eln-venezuela\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-2-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-newspack-article-block-landscape-medium size-newspack-article-block-landscape-medium wp-post-image\" alt=\"Un viaducto de coca\u00edna: el narcotr\u00e1fico y la expansi\u00f3n del ELN en Venezuela\" data-hero-candidate=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-2-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-2-ELN.jpg?resize=600%2C450&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-2-ELN.jpg?resize=400%2C300&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-2-ELN.jpg?resize=200%2C150&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-2-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;w=370 370w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure><!-- .featured-image -->\n\t\t\n\t\t<div class=\"entry-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/viaducto-cocaina-narcotrafico-expansion-eln-venezuela\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Un viaducto de coca\u00edna: el narcotr\u00e1fico y la expansi\u00f3n del ELN en Venezuela<\/a><\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>A medida que las autoridades colombianas aumentan la presi\u00f3n militar contra el ELN, la presencia del grupo en Venezuela le ha permitido trasladar la producci\u00f3n\u2026<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<time class=\"entry-date published\" datetime=\"2025-12-08T01:00:00-05:00\">8 de diciembre de 2025<\/time><time class=\"updated\" datetime=\"2025-12-11T06:22:01-05:00\">11 de diciembre de 2025<\/time>\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-wrapper -->\n\t<\/article>\n\n\t\t\n\t<article data-post-id=\"325499\"\n\t\tclass=\"tag-colombia tag-eln tag-ex-farc-mafia tag-extortion tag-second-marquetalia tag-venezuela category-investigaciones type-post post-has-image\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"post-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/efecto-espejo-dominio-eln-eje-fronterizo-arauca-apure\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-3-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-newspack-article-block-landscape-medium size-newspack-article-block-landscape-medium wp-post-image\" alt=\"Efecto espejo: el dominio del ELN en el eje fronterizo entre Arauca y Apure\" data-hero-candidate=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-3-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-3-ELN.jpg?resize=600%2C450&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-3-ELN.jpg?resize=400%2C300&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-3-ELN.jpg?resize=200%2C150&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-3-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;w=370 370w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure><!-- .featured-image -->\n\t\t\n\t\t<div class=\"entry-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/efecto-espejo-dominio-eln-eje-fronterizo-arauca-apure\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Efecto espejo: el dominio del ELN en el eje fronterizo entre Arauca y Apure<\/a><\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Al ELN le tom\u00f3 d\u00e9cadas alcanzar la hegemon\u00eda en Arauca. Pero recientemente ha consolidado un control social similar al otro lado de la frontera, en\u2026<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<time class=\"entry-date published\" datetime=\"2025-12-08T01:00:00-05:00\">8 de diciembre de 2025<\/time><time class=\"updated\" datetime=\"2025-12-08T13:10:39-05:00\">8 de diciembre de 2025<\/time>\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-wrapper -->\n\t<\/article>\n\n\t\t\n\t<article data-post-id=\"325516\"\n\t\tclass=\"tag-colombia-pais tag-contrabando tag-el-eln tag-extorsion tag-los-rastrojos-es tag-venezuela-pais category-investigations type-post post-has-image\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"post-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigations\/gobernanza-rebelde-control-social-eln-tachira\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-4-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-newspack-article-block-landscape-medium size-newspack-article-block-landscape-medium wp-post-image\" alt=\"Gobernanza rebelde: el control social del ELN en T\u00e1chira\" data-hero-candidate=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-4-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-4-ELN.jpg?resize=600%2C450&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-4-ELN.jpg?resize=400%2C300&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-4-ELN.jpg?resize=200%2C150&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-4-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;w=370 370w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure><!-- .featured-image -->\n\t\t\n\t\t<div class=\"entry-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigations\/gobernanza-rebelde-control-social-eln-tachira\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Gobernanza rebelde: el control social del ELN en T\u00e1chira<\/a><\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>La impunidad del ELN en T\u00e1chira es el resultado de a\u00f1os de complicidad y cooperaci\u00f3n con fuerzas de seguridad locales y l\u00edderes afines al gobierno.\u2026<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<time class=\"entry-date published\" datetime=\"2025-12-08T01:00:00-05:00\">8 de diciembre de 2025<\/time><time class=\"updated\" datetime=\"2025-12-08T13:07:50-05:00\">8 de diciembre de 2025<\/time>\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-wrapper -->\n\t<\/article>\n\n\t\t\n\t<article data-post-id=\"325572\"\n\t\tclass=\"tag-colombia-pais tag-el-eln tag-historias-narradas tag-paz-con-eln tag-venezuela-pais category-audio-es category-investigaciones type-post post-has-image\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"post-thumbnail\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/el-futuro-del-eln\/\" rel=\"bookmark\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-5-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-newspack-article-block-landscape-medium size-newspack-article-block-landscape-medium wp-post-image\" alt=\"El futuro del ELN\" data-hero-candidate=\"1\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-5-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-5-ELN.jpg?resize=600%2C450&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-5-ELN.jpg?resize=400%2C300&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-5-ELN.jpg?resize=200%2C150&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-5-ELN.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;w=370 370w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure><!-- .featured-image -->\n\t\t\n\t\t<div class=\"entry-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/el-futuro-del-eln\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">El futuro del ELN<\/a><\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>El futuro del ELN est\u00e1 hoy estrechamente ligado a Venezuela. Mientras el gobierno venezolano siga respaldando al grupo insurgente colombiano, este no podr\u00e1 ser derrotado\u2026<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<time class=\"entry-date published\" datetime=\"2025-12-08T01:00:00-05:00\">8 de diciembre de 2025<\/time><time class=\"updated\" datetime=\"2026-01-15T15:09:29-05:00\">15 de enero de 2026<\/time>\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- .entry-wrapper -->\n\t<\/article>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\n<div style=\"height:55px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns has-background-gray-background-color has-background is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-creditos\">Cr\u00e9ditos:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide has-background-gray-background-color has-background is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-d05033d9 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\" style=\"padding-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40);padding-right:0;padding-bottom:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40);padding-left:0\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Escrito por:<\/strong> Unidad Investigativa de Venezuela, Jeremy McDermott,<br>Mike LaSusa<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Editado por:<\/strong> Mike LaSusa, Jeremy McDermott, Creusa Mu\u00f1oz<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Comprobaci\u00f3n de hechos: <\/strong>Unidad Investigativa de Venezuela<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Layout: <\/strong>Mar\u00eda Isabel Gaviria, Juan Jos\u00e9 Restrepo, Isabella Soto<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Gr\u00e1ficos:<\/strong> Mar\u00eda Isabel Gaviria, Juan Jos\u00e9 Restrepo, Isabella Soto, Christopher Newton<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Esta investigaci\u00f3n analiza el crecimiento del ELN en territorio venezolano y c\u00f3mo esa consolidaci\u00f3n le ha permitido proyectar su influencia hacia Colombia. Asimismo, examina la relaci\u00f3n simbi\u00f3tica que se ha establecido entre el ELN y el r\u00e9gimen de Maduro, en la que ambos dependen mutuamente y, al mismo tiempo, se fortalecen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":778,"featured_media":325407,"parent":18362,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"single-feature.php","meta":{"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"newspack_featured_image_position":"hidden","newspack_hide_page_title":true,"newspack_show_share_buttons":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[342],"tags":[3412,368,421,3365,400],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"coauthors":[4647],"class_list":["post-325346","page","type-page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investigaciones","tag-cocaina","tag-colombia-pais","tag-el-eln","tag-ex-farc-mafia-es-2","tag-venezuela-pais","entry"],"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","canonical_url":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/paz-nunca-alternativa-eln-colombia-venezuela\/","smart_links":{"inbound":0,"outbound":0},"traffic_boost_suggestions_count":0,"meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"WebPage","headline":"La paz nunca fue una alternativa: el ELN de Colombia en Venezuela","url":"http:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/paz-nunca-alternativa-eln-colombia-venezuela\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/paz-nunca-alternativa-eln-colombia-venezuela\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?resize=150%2C150&quality=100&ssl=1","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?fit=1366%2C752&quality=100&ssl=1"},"articleSection":"Investigaciones","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Venezuela Investigative Unit"}],"creator":["Venezuela Investigative Unit"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"InSight Crime","logo":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logo.png"},"keywords":["coca\u00edna","colombia","eln","ex-farc mafia","venezuela"],"dateCreated":"2025-12-08T06:00:00Z","datePublished":"2025-12-08T06:00:00Z","dateModified":"2026-02-04T20:16:31Z"},"rendered":"<meta name=\"parsely-title\" content=\"La paz nunca fue una alternativa: el ELN de Colombia en Venezuela\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-link\" content=\"http:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/paz-nunca-alternativa-eln-colombia-venezuela\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-type\" content=\"index\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-image-url\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Covers-Landing-ELN-Venezuela-2025.jpg?resize=150%2C150&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-pub-date\" content=\"2025-12-08T06:00:00Z\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-section\" content=\"Investigaciones\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-tags\" content=\"coca\u00edna,colombia,eln,ex-farc mafia,venezuela\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-author\" content=\"Venezuela Investigative Unit\" \/>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/insightcrime.org\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":325572,"url":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/el-futuro-del-eln\/","url_meta":{"origin":325346,"position":0},"title":"El futuro del ELN","author":"Jeremy McDermott","date":"8 de diciembre de 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"El futuro del ELN est\u00e1 hoy estrechamente ligado a Venezuela. Mientras el gobierno venezolano siga respaldando al grupo insurgente colombiano, este no podr\u00e1 ser derrotado por completo ni es probable que firme un acuerdo de paz.","rel":"","context":"En \u00abAudio\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Audio","link":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/category\/audio-es\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-5-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-5-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-5-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-5-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-5-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":325473,"url":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/viaducto-cocaina-narcotrafico-expansion-eln-venezuela\/","url_meta":{"origin":325346,"position":1},"title":"Un viaducto de coca\u00edna: el narcotr\u00e1fico y la expansi\u00f3n del ELN en Venezuela","author":"Unidad Investigativa de Venezuela","date":"8 de diciembre de 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"A medida que las autoridades colombianas aumentan la presi\u00f3n militar contra el ELN, la presencia del grupo en Venezuela le ha permitido trasladar la producci\u00f3n de drogas al otro lado de la frontera, fuera del alcance estatal.","rel":"","context":"En \u00abInvestigaciones\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Investigaciones","link":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/category\/investigaciones\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-2-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-2-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-2-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-2-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-2-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":325349,"url":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/guerras-fronterizas-eln-toma-catatumbo\/","url_meta":{"origin":325346,"position":2},"title":"Guerras fronterizas: el ELN y la toma del Catatumbo","author":"Jeremy McDermott","date":"8 de diciembre de 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"La ofensiva del ELN en el Catatumbo es solo un cap\u00edtulo m\u00e1s de su plan de lograr algo que ning\u00fan actor ilegal ha conseguido durante m\u00e1s de sesenta a\u00f1os de conflicto armado en Colombia: establecerse como la autoridad hegem\u00f3nica a lo largo de la frontera con Venezuela.","rel":"","context":"En \u00abInvestigaciones\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Investigaciones","link":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/category\/investigaciones\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-1-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-1-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-1-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-1-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cover-Chapter-1-ELN.jpg?fit=1200%2C661&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":199192,"url":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/venezuela-colombia-eln-encrucijada-paz\/","url_meta":{"origin":325346,"position":3},"title":"Venezuela, Colombia y el ELN en la encrucijada de la paz","author":"Unidad Investigativa de Venezuela","date":"3 de octubre de 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"El presidente Gustavo Petro le ha ofrecido a Colombia la tentadora perspectiva de la \u201cpaz total\u201d: las negociaciones que pondr\u00e1n fin a todos los conflictos armados que han asolado al pa\u00eds durante generaciones. En el primer lugar de su lista se encuentra el Ej\u00e9rcito de Liberaci\u00f3n Nacional (ELN).","rel":"","context":"En \u00abInvestigaciones\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Investigaciones","link":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/category\/investigaciones\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"President Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela maintains a complex relationship with the ELN.","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Venezuela-Guerrillas-Cover-Capitulo-5.png?fit=1200%2C438&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Venezuela-Guerrillas-Cover-Capitulo-5.png?fit=1200%2C438&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Venezuela-Guerrillas-Cover-Capitulo-5.png?fit=1200%2C438&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Venezuela-Guerrillas-Cover-Capitulo-5.png?fit=1200%2C438&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Venezuela-Guerrillas-Cover-Capitulo-5.png?fit=1200%2C438&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":199205,"url":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/investigaciones\/rebeldes-paramilitares-guerrilla-colombiana-venezuela\/","url_meta":{"origin":325346,"position":4},"title":"Rebeldes y paramilitares: la guerrilla colombiana en Venezuela","author":"Unidad Investigativa de Venezuela","date":"3 de octubre de 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Los estados venezolanos fronterizos con Colombia han sufrido destrucci\u00f3n de una guerra que pasaron medio siglo observando desde lejos.","rel":"","context":"En \u00abInvestigaciones\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Investigaciones","link":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/category\/investigaciones\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"The ELN and other Colombian guerrilla groups have found a new home in Venezuela, making them binational groups.","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Venezuela-Guerrillas-Cover-Capitulo-1.png?fit=1200%2C438&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Venezuela-Guerrillas-Cover-Capitulo-1.png?fit=1200%2C438&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Venezuela-Guerrillas-Cover-Capitulo-1.png?fit=1200%2C438&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Venezuela-Guerrillas-Cover-Capitulo-1.png?fit=1200%2C438&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Venezuela-Guerrillas-Cover-Capitulo-1.png?fit=1200%2C438&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":129457,"url":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/noticias\/nueva-alianza-criminal-combate-al-eln-en-la-frontera-colombia-venezuela\/","url_meta":{"origin":325346,"position":5},"title":"Nueva alianza criminal combate al ELN en la frontera Colombia-Venezuela","author":"Juan Diego Posada","date":"19 de enero de 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Una nueva alianza entre dos grupos criminales se estar\u00eda gestando en la frontera entre Colombia y Venezuela, para retomar el control de las principales econom\u00edas criminales. Urabe\u00f1os y Rastrojos habr\u00edan unido fuerzas para contrarrestar al Ej\u00e9rcito de Liberaci\u00f3n Nacional (ELN).","rel":"","context":"En \u00abNoticias\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Noticias","link":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/category\/noticias\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/ELN-Frontera.jpg?fit=350%2C250&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/325346","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/778"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=325346"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/325346\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":326346,"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/325346\/revisions\/326346"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/18362"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/325407"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=325346"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=325346"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=325346"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=325346"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=325346"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}