{"id":8488,"date":"2016-01-14T19:59:39","date_gmt":"2017-03-28T00:13:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/newwp.insightcrime.org?p=8488"},"modified":"2023-04-24T15:49:45","modified_gmt":"2023-04-24T20:49:45","slug":"homicidios-guatemala-comparacion-grafica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/noticias\/noticias-del-dia\/homicidios-guatemala-comparacion-grafica\/","title":{"rendered":"Homicidios en Guatemala: comparaci\u00f3n gr\u00e1fica"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>El 10 de enero, el soci\u00f3logo guatemalteco Carlos Mendoza tuite\u00f3 una serie de gr\u00e1ficos que comparaban el descenso sostenido en los \u00edndices de homicidios en Guatemala con los de otros pa\u00edses de Latinoam\u00e9rica. Como lo observ\u00f3 el analista James Bosworth, las im\u00e1genes resultantes destacan focos de mejora en la regi\u00f3n, as\u00ed como \u00e1reas de crisis.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Es f\u00e1cil quedar atrapados en las malas noticias sobre \u00edndices de homicidios en este hemisferio. No cabe duda de que El Salvador y Venezuela tuvieron aumentos<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">horrendos en 2015. Sin embargo, hay algunas buenas noticias, como lo muestra el gr\u00e1fico abajo (los gr\u00e1ficos pertenecen a Carlos Mendoza, quien reuni\u00f3n varios cuadros donde comparaba las cifras de Guatemala con las de otros pa\u00edses del hemisferio). Tanto Guatemala como Colombia han visto bajas sostenidas en los \u00edndices de homicidio. Guatemala alcanz\u00f3 el nivel m\u00e1s alto de 41,5 por 100.000 habitantes en 2006-2009 y Colombia lleg\u00f3 a 70 por 100.000 habitantes en 2002.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/es.insightcrime.org\/images\/2016\/16-01-12-HomicideRatesGTandCO.png?quality=100&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Existen muchas lecciones que podr\u00edan aprenderse de estos pa\u00edses (y todos corremos el riesgo de caer en sesgos confirmatorios, al explicar estos logros que justifican a posteriori las pol\u00edticas que respaldamos), pero perm\u00edtanme presentar el punto m\u00e1s importante de ese gr\u00e1fico: Hay esperanza. Las altas tasas de homicidios pueden bajar en forma sostenida. No se trata de logros transitorios, como ocurri\u00f3 con la tregua de pandillas de El Salvador, que por un corto lapso baj\u00f3 a la mitad el n\u00famero de asesinatos antes de hacer que volviera a alcanzar nuevos picos. Aunque hay motivos para preocuparse por la posibilidad de alzas s\u00fabitas temporales en el crimen en ambos pa\u00edses, las mejoras consistentes en a\u00f1os recientes muestran que pueden hacerse progresos y sostenerlos a lo largo de muchos a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span style=\"color: #800000\"><strong>VEA TAMBI\u00c9N<\/strong><\/span>: <a href=\"\/noticias-sobre-crimen-organizado-en-guatemala\" target=\"_blank\">Noticias y perfiles de Guatemala<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yo a\u00f1adir\u00eda que veo con optimismo la oportunidad que tienen ambos pa\u00edses de consolidar estos logros en el futuro pr\u00f3ximo. Gracias a los \u00e9xitos recientes y a la CICIG, las instituciones fortalecidas de Guatemala est\u00e1n en mejor posici\u00f3n en los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os para llevar ante la justicia a la corrupci\u00f3n y al crimen organizado que han asolado al pa\u00eds por tanto tiempo. Colombia tiene una oportunidad con el proceso de paz con las FARC y el posterior esfuerzo de desarme, desmovilizaci\u00f3n y reinserci\u00f3n (DDR) para acabar al fin con uno de los principales motores de la violencia en ese pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Todos los gr\u00e1ficos que siguen son de Carlos Mendoza. S\u00edgalo en @camendoza72 o lea m\u00e1s de su an\u00e1lisis sobre las tasas de homicidios en Guatemala en <a href=\"https:\/\/carlosantoniomendoza.blogspot.com.co\/\" target=\"_blank\">su blog personal<\/a> o en <a href=\"https:\/\/www.plazapublica.com.gt\/portada-blog\/panoptico\" target=\"_blank\">su columna <\/a>en la p\u00e1gina de noticias investigativas <a href=\"https:\/\/www.plazapublica.com.gt\/\" target=\"_blank\">Plaza Publica<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tasa de homicidios en Guatemala frente a M\u00e9xico, 2000-2015<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/es.insightcrime.org\/images\/2016\/16-01-18-Guatemala-homicidesmexico.png?quality=100&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tasa de homicidios en Guatemala frente a Honduras, 2000-2014<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/es.insightcrime.org\/images\/2016\/16-01-12-Guatemala-hondurashomicides.png?quality=100&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tasa de homicidios en Guatemala frente a El Salvador, 2000-2014<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/es.insightcrime.org\/images\/2016\/16-01-12-Guatemala-elsalvadorhomicides.png?quality=100&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tasa de homicidios en Guatemala frente a Venezuela, 2000-2015<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/es.insightcrime.org\/images\/2016\/16-01-12-Guatemala-venezuelahomicides.png?quality=100&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>El 10 de enero, el soci\u00f3logo guatemalteco Carlos Mendoza tuite\u00f3 una serie de gr\u00e1ficos que comparaban el descenso sostenido en los \u00edndices de homicidios en Guatemala con los de otros pa\u00edses de Latinoam\u00e9rica. Como lo observ\u00f3 el analista James Bosworth, las im\u00e1genes resultantes destacan focos de mejora en la regi\u00f3n, as\u00ed como \u00e1reas de crisis.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":43766,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"_newspack_byline_active":false,"_newspack_byline":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[334],"tags":[368,374,452],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"coauthors":[3674],"class_list":["post-8488","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias-del-dia","tag-colombia-pais","tag-guatemala-pais","tag-homicidios","entry"],"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","canonical_url":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/noticias\/noticias-del-dia\/homicidios-guatemala-comparacion-grafica\/","smart_links":{"inbound":0,"outbound":0},"traffic_boost_suggestions_count":0,"meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"Homicidios en Guatemala: comparaci\u00f3n gr\u00e1fica","url":"http:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/noticias\/noticias-del-dia\/homicidios-guatemala-comparacion-grafica\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/noticias\/noticias-del-dia\/homicidios-guatemala-comparacion-grafica\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/es-16-01-12-HomicideRatesGTandCO.precentacion.2.png?resize=150%2C150&quality=100&ssl=1","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/es-16-01-12-HomicideRatesGTandCO.precentacion.2.png?fit=350%2C250&quality=100&ssl=1"},"articleSection":"Noticias del d\u00eda","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"James Bosworth"}],"creator":["James Bosworth"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"InSight Crime","logo":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logo.png"},"keywords":["colombia","guatemala","homicidios"],"dateCreated":"2017-03-28T00:13:39Z","datePublished":"2017-03-28T00:13:39Z","dateModified":"2023-04-24T20:49:45Z"},"rendered":"<meta name=\"parsely-title\" content=\"Homicidios en Guatemala: comparaci\u00f3n gr\u00e1fica\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-link\" content=\"http:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/noticias\/noticias-del-dia\/homicidios-guatemala-comparacion-grafica\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-type\" content=\"post\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-image-url\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/es-16-01-12-HomicideRatesGTandCO.precentacion.2.png?resize=150%2C150&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-pub-date\" content=\"2017-03-28T00:13:39Z\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-section\" content=\"Noticias del d\u00eda\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-tags\" content=\"colombia,guatemala,homicidios\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-author\" content=\"James Bosworth\" \/>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/insightcrime.org\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":347833,"url":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/noticias\/ataque-fronterizo-guatemala-evidencia-regreso-clan-lorenzana\/","url_meta":{"origin":8488,"position":0},"title":"Ataque fronterizo en Guatemala evidencia el regreso del clan de los Lorenzana\u00a0","author":"Alex Papadovassilakis","date":"27 de julio de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Los reportes que vinculan un ataque armado en la frontera entre Guatemala y Honduras con la red de tr\u00e1fico de drogas de los Lorenzana evidencian la capacidad de resistencia de los clanes familiares en el narcotr\u00e1fico centroamericano.","rel":"","context":"En \u00abNoticias\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Noticias","link":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/category\/noticias\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Haroldo Waldemar Lorenzana Terraza, alias 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InSight Crime ahonda en este art\u00edculo en algunas de las tendencias m\u00e1s relevantes que se han registrado en la regi\u00f3n.","rel":"","context":"En \u00abNoticias\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Noticias","link":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/category\/noticias\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Video-10-years-2015-2024-Homicide-Rates-in-Latin-America-and-the-Caribbean-InSight-Crime.aep_.gif?fit=1200%2C1021&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Video-10-years-2015-2024-Homicide-Rates-in-Latin-America-and-the-Caribbean-InSight-Crime.aep_.gif?fit=1200%2C1021&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Video-10-years-2015-2024-Homicide-Rates-in-Latin-America-and-the-Caribbean-InSight-Crime.aep_.gif?fit=1200%2C1021&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Video-10-years-2015-2024-Homicide-Rates-in-Latin-America-and-the-Caribbean-InSight-Crime.aep_.gif?fit=1200%2C1021&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Video-10-years-2015-2024-Homicide-Rates-in-Latin-America-and-the-Caribbean-InSight-Crime.aep_.gif?fit=1200%2C1021&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":333020,"url":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/noticias\/como-crisis-pandillera-guatemala-alcanzo-punto-algido\/","url_meta":{"origin":8488,"position":2},"title":"C\u00f3mo la crisis pandillera en Guatemala alcanz\u00f3 un punto \u00e1lgido","author":"Alex Papadovassilakis","date":"18 de febrero de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Dos a\u00f1os despu\u00e9s de que el presidente de Guatemala prometiera un enfoque renovado, el pa\u00eds est\u00e1 regresando a la vieja f\u00f3rmula de pol\u00edticas de seguridad de mano dura en medio de un resurgimiento de la violencia asociada a las pandillas.","rel":"","context":"En \u00abNoticias\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Noticias","link":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/category\/noticias\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"MS13 gang violence guatemala ","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Feature-Image-A-soldier-patrols-during-a-state-of-emergency-Guatemala-City-AP26021548465526.jpg?fit=1200%2C690&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Feature-Image-A-soldier-patrols-during-a-state-of-emergency-Guatemala-City-AP26021548465526.jpg?fit=1200%2C690&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Feature-Image-A-soldier-patrols-during-a-state-of-emergency-Guatemala-City-AP26021548465526.jpg?fit=1200%2C690&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Feature-Image-A-soldier-patrols-during-a-state-of-emergency-Guatemala-City-AP26021548465526.jpg?fit=1200%2C690&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/insightcrime.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Feature-Image-A-soldier-patrols-during-a-state-of-emergency-Guatemala-City-AP26021548465526.jpg?fit=1200%2C690&quality=100&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":180674,"url":"https:\/\/insightcrime.org\/es\/noticias\/sanciones-eeuu-suben-apuestas-contra-huistas-guatemala\/","url_meta":{"origin":8488,"position":3},"title":"Sanciones de EE. 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